Brazil’s October Coffee Exports Hit Record High as Futures Prices Fall

At the November 11 close, January 2027 robusta coffee futures in London fell 0.15% to $3,245 per tonne; the March 2027 contract fell to $3,220 per tonne. In New York, December 2026 arabica coffee futures fell 0.88% to 269 US cents per pound; the March 2027 contract fell to 264.65 US cents per pound.

Robusta coffee futures prices in London on November 11.（VietVance）

Arabica coffee futures prices in New York on November 11.（VietVance）

Data released by Cecafe showed that Brazil exported 5.02 million 60 kg bags of green coffee in October, up nearly 31% year on year and a monthly record. Arabica exports rose nearly 22% to about 4.12 million bags, while robusta exports doubled from a year earlier to about 897,000 bags. Including instant and roasted coffee, total exports reached 5.33 million bags, worth $1.79 billion. Both were monthly records.

Cecafe head Marcio Ferreira said heavy rain delayed this year’s harvest, and the volume of coffee shipped to Brazilian ports has increased since September. Coffee trader Sucafina said expectations that large volumes of Brazilian coffee would soon reach the market continued to weigh on prices; its report also gave a positive assessment of growing conditions for the 2027–2028 crop year.

Sucafina said drought and high temperatures had affected coffee production in Central America, where the harvest is beginning, but Brazil remained the market’s focus. More than 113,000 bags of Brazilian arabica coffee were awaiting grading and certification in ICE warehouses; certified stocks exceeded 250,000 bags, their highest level since mid-October. ICE robusta coffee stocks fell from 6,809 lots on October 29 to 6,633 lots on November 11.

Source: VietVance